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How to Secure a Leading Advantage in 2026

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Company news and monetary news, analysis, opinion and statistics covering the six Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic development across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the region forecasted to surpass its 2025 efficiency regardless of muted oil revenues and ongoing international uncertainties. According to a new Oxford Economics research study briefing, GCC GDP growth is anticipated to rise to 4.4 per cent in 2026, up from 4 percent in 2025, showing a resistant nonenergy sector, strong customer characteristics, and gradually enhancing oil output.

The most current forecasts recommend that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to regain momentum, buoyed by enhancing domestic need and a broadly stable international background. The report highlights GCC customers as a major chauffeur of the area's economic efficiency heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine non reusable incomes are anticipated to sustain a surge in consumer spending across the Gulf.

Credit growth is also forecast to remain elevated as access to financial services widens. With GCC main banks expected to follow expected US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the area's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are likely to decline, giving families and businesses even more incentive to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the region's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a combined photo.

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This could weigh on firsthalf development, especially for economies more dependent on oil extraction. However, Oxford Economics projects a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members anticipated to resume raising production as stocks tighten up and international demand enhances. Qatar, meanwhile, stands apart as a regional outperformer, with significant expansions in gas production and exports expected to lift its total financial performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan prepares for a 6 per cent cut in capital expense as the kingdom aims to narrow its fiscal deficit by two percentage points. However, the report keeps in mind that these cuts might not materialise completely if countercyclical costs measures are triggered to support development. By contrast, more varied economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their advancement agendas.

Regardless of shortterm dangers tied to oil rates and global need, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is defined by strength in fundamentals: resilient consumers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil dynamics, and tactical fiscal preparation. With these factors lining up, the region is getting ready for one of its most well balanced periods of expansion over the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council local economies are anticipated to stay durable in 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and a broadly consistent international economy, according to an analysis. In its latest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gdp of the GCC region is expected to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the forecasted 4 percent this year.

We anticipate GCC growth will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that economic development in the area is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by expanding non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the region's continued development towards diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC customers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are anticipated to surpass their global peers.

In December, the IMF further stated that headline inflation is expected to stay below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, close to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and somewhat above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is expected to stay raised in the GCC area during 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and lending is predicted to be supported by further cuts in interest rates."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC central banks are expected to follow the US Federal Reserve by reducing monetary policy even more, which in turn will lower debt maintenance expenses and improve disposable earnings and demand," said the report.